Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.