Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.