Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.