Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 19, 2025 at 2pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
3 - 2
Southampton

Anderson (11'), Hudson-Odoi (28'), Wood (41')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bednarek (60'), Onuachu (90+1')
Downes (33'), Walker-Peters (57'), Aribo (90+5'), Ugochukwu (90+11')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Liverpool
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Southampton
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Southampton
50.29% ( 0.83)	24.14% ( 0.06)	25.57% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.37% (

-0.98)

46.63% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.1% (

-0.93)

68.9% (

0.92)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.42% (

-0.06)

18.58% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.14% (

-0.09)

49.85% (

0.09)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

-1.23)

32.3% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

-1.41)

68.8% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 50.29%

Southampton 25.57%

Draw 24.13%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.29%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.57%