Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 19, 2025 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT The City Ground
  • Elliot Anderson 11' goal
  • Callum Hudson-Odoi 28' goal
  • Chris Wood 41' goal
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 33'
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker-Peters 57'
  • goal Jan Bednarek 60'
  • goal Paul Onuachu 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Joe Aribo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 90'+11'

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2025 8.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Chris Wood

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2025 8.00pm
Man Utd 3 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 50.29% (+0.83)
Draw 24.14% (+0.06)
Southampton 25.57% (-0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.12% (-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.37% (-0.99)
Under 2.5 46.63% (+0.98)
Over 3.5 31.1% (-0.93)
Under 3.5 68.9% (+0.93)
Over 4.5 15.44% (-0.66)
Under 4.5 84.56% (+0.66)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 81.42% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 18.58% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 50.14% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 49.85% (+0.09)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 67.7% (-1.24)
Under 0.5 32.3% (+1.23)
Over 1.5 31.2% (-1.42)
Under 1.5 68.8% (+1.41)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 50.29%
Draw 24.13%
Southampton 25.57%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.1% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.5% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 5.39% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.77% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.13%
Southampton
0-1 @ 6.78% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.57%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Adam Armstrong 11' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 29' yellowcard
  • Jan Bednarek 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Espirito Santo 20'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 54'
  • yellowcard Chris Wood 61'
  • goal Morgan Gibbs-White 70'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 88'
Premier League Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 18' goal
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 21' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 44' goal
  • Danilo 73' goal
  • goal Carlos Alcaraz 25'
  • goal Lyanco 51'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 27'
Championship
Jan 14, 2012 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Chambers 50' redcard
  • yellowcard Jos Hooiveld 25'
  • goal David Connolly 65'
  • goal Morgan Schneiderlin 79'
Championship
Sep 10, 2011 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Rickie Lambert 8' goal
  • Rickie Lambert 24' goal
  • David Connolly 33' yellowcard
  • Jack Cork 51' yellowcard
  • Rickie Lambert 82' goal
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 7'
  • yellowcard Guy Moussi 26'
  • yellowcard Chris Gunter 33'
  • goal Radoslaw Majewski 42'
  • yellowcard Matt Derbyshire 81'
Championship
May 3, 2009 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Garner 73' goal
  • Luke Chambers 87' goal
  • Robert Earnshaw 90' goal
  • goal Bradley Wright-Phillips 16'
  • yellowcard Lloyd James 61'

Build-up

Head to head
Predicted Lineups