Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.