Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.