Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 19, 2025 at 2pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
1 - 3
Brighton

Fernandes (23' pen.)
Ugarte (61'), Maguire (90+5'), Yoro (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Minteh (5'), Mitoma (60'), Rutter (76')
Balepa (21'), Minteh (43'), March (90+8')

Reaction

Manchester United boss Ruben Amorim during his side's match against Brighton & Hove Albion, on January 19, 2025

Manchester United 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion: How much worse can Ruben Amorim's side get in the Premier League?

Manchester United boss Ruben Amorim admits that his side are likely the worst United side in the history of the club following their loss against Brighton & Hove Albion.

Jan 19, 19:58

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 3-1 Southampton
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Ipswich 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, January 16 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
43.83% ( 0.35)	22.62% ( -0.03)	33.56% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 65.94% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.28% (

0.06)

34.72% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.33% (

0.07)

56.67% (

-0.07)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.54% (

0.16)

16.46% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.84% (

0.29)

46.16% (

-0.29)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

-0.14)

21.06% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.13% (

-0.22)

53.87% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 43.83%

Brighton & Hove Albion 33.56%

Draw 22.62%

Manchester United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 43.83%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 33.56%