Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.