Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.