Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kasimpasa in this match.