Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.