Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.