Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.