Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.