Nations League
Greece
Nov 14, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
England
  • Anastasios Bakasetas 22' yellowcard
  • Christos Zafeiris 63' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Watkins 7'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 11'
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 11'
  • yellowcard Jordan Pickford 27'
  • goal Odysseas Vlachodimos 78' (OG)
  • goal Curtis Jones 83'

Greece vs England - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 13, 2024 7.45pm
Greece 2 - 0 Rep. Ireland

England

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Oct 13, 2024 5.00pm
Finland 1 - 3 England

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for England had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest England win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result

Greece 38.25% ▼ (-0.84)
Draw 27.46% ▲ (+0.41)
England 34.29% ▲ (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.32% ▼ (-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.7% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 2.5 56.3% ▲ (+1.50)
Over 3.5 22.67% ▼ (-1.23)
Under 3.5 77.33% ▲ (+1.23)
Over 4.5 9.91% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 4.5 90.09% ▲ (+0.76)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5 71.46% ▼ (-1.19)
Under 0.5 28.54% ▲ (+1.20)
Over 1.5 35.68% ▼ (-1.52)
Under 1.5 64.32% ▲ (+1.53)

England Goals

Over 0.5 69.02% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 0.5 30.98% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 1.5 32.71% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 67.29% ▲ (+0.56)

Score analysis

Greece 38.25%
Draw 27.46%
England 34.29%
Greece
1-0 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 38.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% ▲ (+0.16)
0-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.50)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.46%
England
0-1 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.46)
1-2 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head

Nations League
England
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Greece
  • Bukayo Saka 45' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 53' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 87' goal
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Koulierakis 6'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 49'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kourbelis 71'
  • yellowcard Vangelis Pavlidis 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Dimitris Pelkas 90'+2'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 90'+4'

Form Data

Greece 2 - 0 Rep. Ireland
England 1 - 2 Greece
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 Greece
Greece 3 - 0 Finland
Malta 0 - 2 Greece
Germany 2 - 1 Greece
Finland 1 - 3 England
England 1 - 2 Greece
England 2 - 0 Finland
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 England
Spain 2 - 1 England
Netherlands 1 - 2 England

Build-up

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