Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.