Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.