Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Southport had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.