Premier League Gameweek 30
Chelsea
Apr 3, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Spurs
  • Trevoh Chalobah 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 50' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 67' yellowcard
  • Marc Cucurella 73' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 80' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Romero 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pape Sarr 72'
  • yellowcard Brennan Johnson 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Djed Spence 90'+13'

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 1.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 1.30pm
Fulham 2 - 0 Spurs
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brennan Johnson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 3-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 73.57% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 15.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Tottenham Hotspur 11.14% ▼ (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.51% ▼ (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.28% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 2.5 29.72% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 3.5 49.14% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 3.5 50.85% ▲ (+1.16)
Over 4.5 29.95% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 4.5 70.04% ▲ (+1.07)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 93.07% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 6.93% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 74.57% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 25.43% ▲ (+0.48)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 61.79% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 0.5 38.21% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 1.5 25.03% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 1.5 74.97% ▲ (+1.08)

Score analysis

Chelsea 73.57%
Draw 15.28%
Tottenham Hotspur 11.14%
Chelsea
2-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.32)
4-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.14)
5-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.12)
5-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.08)
6-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 73.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 15.28%
Tottenham Hotspur
1-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 11.14%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 15
Spurs
Dec 8, 2024 4.30pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Chelsea
  • Dominic Solanke 5' goal
  • Dejan Kulusevski 11' goal
  • Pape Sarr 30' yellowcard
  • Yves Bissouma 59' yellowcard
  • Son Heung-min 90'+6' goal
  • goal Jadon Sancho 17'
  • yellowcard Romeo Lavia 21'
  • goal Cole Palmer 61'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 73'
  • goal Cole Palmer 84'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 85'
  • yellowcard Robert Sanchez 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Chelsea
May 2, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Spurs
  • Trevoh Chalobah 24' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 72' goal
  • yellowcard Mickey van de Ven 67'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Spurs
Nov 6, 2023 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Chelsea
  • Dejan Kulusevski 6' goal
  • Destiny Udogie 18' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 33' redcard
  • Ange Postecoglou 41' yellowcard
  • Pape Sarr 45'+10' yellowcard
  • Destiny Udogie 55' redcard
  • goal Cole Palmer 35'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 45'+10'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 45'+10'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 75'
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 86'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 89'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 90'+4'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Spurs
Feb 26, 2023 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Oliver Skipp 46' goal
  • Harry Kane 82' goal
Premier League Gameweek 2
Chelsea
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Spurs
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 19' goal
  • Reece James 41' yellowcard
  • Edouard Mendy 62' yellowcard
  • Thomas Tuchel 71' yellowcard
  • Reece James 77' goal
  • Kai Havertz 86' yellowcard
  • Thomas Tuchel 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 68'
  • yellowcard Antonio Conte 70'
  • goal Harry Kane 90'+6'
  • redcard Antonio Conte 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Chelsea
Jan 23, 2022 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Spurs
  • Thiago Silva 24' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 42' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 47' goal
  • Thiago Silva 55' goal
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 37'

Form Data

Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 0 Copenhagen
Chelsea 1 - 0 Leicester
Copenhagen 1 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 4 - 0 Southampton
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Chelsea
Fulham 2 - 0 Spurs
Spurs 3 - 1 AZ
Spurs 2 - 2 Bournemouth
AZ 1 - 0 Spurs
Spurs 0 - 1 Man City
Ipswich 1 - 4 Spurs

Build-up

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Predicted Lineups