/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
-
Marc Cucurella
71'
-
Cole Palmer
90'+5'
-
Harry Maguire
16'
-
Bruno Fernandes
31'
-
Casemiro
47'
-
Noussair Mazraoui
65'
-
Amad Diallo
69'
-
Manuel Ugarte
90'
-
Ayden Heaven
90'+3'
Chelsea vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F20%2Fharry-maguire.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F14%2Fenzo-maresca_1.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F20%2Fmarc-cucurella.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F13%2Fjadon-sancho.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F19%2Fenzo-maresca.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F19%2Fleny-yoro.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result
Chelsea
65.43%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
18.43%
▲
(+0.07)
Manchester United
16.14%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
60.09%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.86%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 2.5
33.14%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 3.5
45.11%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
54.89%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
26.39%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
73.61%
▲
(+0.13)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
90.49%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
9.51%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
68.11%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
31.89%
▲
(+0.18)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5
66.41%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
33.59%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
29.77%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
70.23%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Chelsea
65.43%
Draw
18.43%
Manchester United
16.14%
Chelsea
2-1
@
9.65%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 65.43%
2-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 65.43%
Draw
1-1
@
8.2%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.43%
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.43%
Manchester United
1-2
@
4.47%
▲
(+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.14%
0-1 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 16.14%
Head to Head
-
Conor Gallagher
4'
-
Cole Palmer
19'
-
Malo Gusto
32'
-
Enzo Fernandez
35'
-
Cole Palmer
90'+10'
-
Cole Palmer
90'+11'
-
Moises Caicedo
90'+12'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
34'
-
Bruno Fernandes
39'
-
Alejandro Garnacho
67'
-
Harry Maguire
90'+13'
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F17%2Fruben-amorim.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F16%2Fenzo-maresca.jpg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F05%2Fchristopher-nkunku.jpg)