Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.