Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Adam Davies 16'
Phil Mooney 42'
Sam Downey 81'
Gruff John Williams 86'
Marc Williams 90'

Uniss Kargbo 81'
Louis Robles 88'

Caernarfon Town vs Bala Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
L
L
L
L
W

Welsh Premier League

W
L
W
W
D
L

Last game

Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm

Newtown 0 - 4 Caernarfon

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Louis Lloyd

Bala Town

All competitions

W
W
D
D
L
D

Welsh Premier League

W
W
D
D
D
L

Last game

Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm

Bala Town 2 - 0 Flint Town

Goals scored

38

Top scorer

Joe Malkin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 28.59% ▼ (-0.13)

Draw 24.53% ▲ (+0.04)

Bala Town 46.88% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score:

56.36% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.85% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 2.5 46.15% ▲ (+0.23)

Over 3.5 31.55% ▼ (-0.23)

Under 3.5 68.45% ▲ (+0.22)

Over 4.5 15.75% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 4.5 84.24% ▲ (+0.16)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.26% ▼ (-0.21)

Under 0.5 29.74% ▲ (+0.21)

Over 1.5 34.19% ▼ (-0.26)

Under 1.5 65.8% ▲ (+0.25)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5 80.22% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 0.5 19.77% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 48.17% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 1.5 51.82% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 28.59%

Draw 24.52%

Bala Town 46.88%

Caernarfon Town

1-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.03)

2-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.03)

2-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.03)

3-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)

3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 3.25%

Total : 28.59%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.55% ▲ (+0.03)

0-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.06)

2-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.03)

3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.17%

Total : 24.52%

Bala Town

0-1 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.08)

1-2 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.05)

1-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.02)

2-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)

1-4 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)

0-4 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)

2-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 2.97%

Total : 46.88%

Head to Head

Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT The Oval

Iwan Cartwright 26'
Zack Clarke 34'
Louis Lloyd 68'

Kieran Smith 27'
Naim Arsan 36'
Naim Arsan 41'
Kelland Absalom 44'
Kelland Absalom 47'
Nathan Peate 52'

Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Maes Tegid

George Newell 40'
Naim Arsan 57'
Iwan Roberts 76'

Danny Gosset 45'+2'
Adam Davies 50'
Morgan Owen 71'
Sion Bradley 90'+5'

Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Maes Tegid

Joshua Ukek 11'
Nathan Peate 34'
Iwan Roberts 45'+1'
Kieran Smith 61'
Osebi Abadaki 79'

Ben Wynne 37'
Dion Donohue 39'
Adam Davies 45'+3'
Darren Thomas 60'

Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval

Zack Clarke 75'

Nathan Peate 41'
Naim Arsan 56'
Kyle Harrison 68'
Oliver Shannon 69'

Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Maes Tegid

George Newell 16'
Adam Roscrow 40'
Chris Venables 89'

Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm

1

5

HT : 1 2

FT The Oval

Darren Thomas 5'

Antony Kay 10'
Lassana Nalatche Mendes 34'
Luke Wall 51'
Oliver Shannon 65'
James Davies 90'+2'

Form Data

Newtown 0 - 4 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 2 Haverfordwest

Caernarfon 0 - 5 Legia

Legia 6 - 0 Caernarfon

Crusaders 3 - 1 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Crusaders

Bala Town 2 - 0 Flint Town

Bala Town 2 - 0 Briton Ferry

Barry 1 - 1 Bala Town

Paide 1 - 1 Bala Town

Bala Town 1 - 2 Paide

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Bala Town