League One Gameweek 10
Burton Albion
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bristol Rovers
  • Danilo Orsi 15' goal
  • Tomas Kalinauskas 39' yellowcard
  • Charlie Webster 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Terence Vancooten 82' redcard
  • Jack Cooper Love 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 45'
  • goal Shaq Forde 52'
  • goal Scott Sinclair 59'
  • yellowcard Gatlin O'Donkor 86'
  • goal Grant Ward 90'+3'

Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2024 8.00pm
Reading 3 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers 3 - 2 Charlton
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Chris Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 40.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 26.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Bristol Rovers 33.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 53% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 25.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 25.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61% ▲ (+0.03)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 70.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.03% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 40.03%
Draw 26.58%
Bristol Rovers 33.37%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.58%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 33.37%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Antony Evans 60' goal
  • goal Ciaran Gilligan 43'
  • yellowcard Tolaji Bola 49'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Gilligan 52'
  • goal Mark Helm 57'
  • yellowcard Mark Helm 64'
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 80'
League One Gameweek 14
Burton Albion
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bristol Rovers
  • Jasper Moon 18' yellowcard
  • Beryly Lubala 26' goal
  • Beryly Lubala 43' goal
  • Max Crocombe 70' yellowcard
  • Joe Powell 81' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 84' goal
  • Mark Helm 88' yellowcard
  • goal Antony Evans 7'
  • redcard Ryan Woods 64'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 33
Bristol Rovers
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Memorial Stadium
Burton Albion
  • John Marquis 9' goal
  • goal Charlie Kirk 44'
  • goal Sam Winnall 55'
League One Gameweek 2
Burton Albion
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bristol Rovers
  • Conor Shaughnessy 1' redcard
  • Jonny Smith 14' yellowcard
  • Calum Butcher 64' yellowcard
  • goal Antony Evans 4'
  • goal James Connolly 12'
  • goal Aaron Collins 40'
  • goal Aaron Collins 44'
  • yellowcard Glenn Whelan 72'
League One Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
Mar 2, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bristol Rovers
  • Sean Clare 43' yellowcard
  • Jonny Smith 55' goal
  • Hayden Carter 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 11'
  • redcard Luke McCormick 52'
League One Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
Burton Albion
  • James Daly 52' goal
  • Max Ehmer 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John-Joe O'Toole 18'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Fox 35'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 79'

Form Data

Reading 3 - 1 Burton Albion
Blackpool 3 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Notts County
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Barnsley
Rotherham 2 - 2 Burton Albion
Northampton 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Bristol Rovers 3 - 2 Charlton
Bristol Rovers 1 - 2 Wycombe
Peterborough 3 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers 0 - 4 Wigan
Barnsley 2 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Cambridge