League One Gameweek 36
Burton Albion
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bolton
  • JJ McKiernan 29' yellowcard
  • Jack Armer 42' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 53' goal
  • Kyran Lofthouse 59' yellowcard
  • Mason Bennett 79' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Morley 22'
  • goal Aaron Morley 22'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 47'
  • goal Josh Sheehan 60'
  • yellowcard Alex Murphy 76'

Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
Wycombe 2 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Bolton 3 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 28.33% ▲ (+0.59)
Draw 27.1% ▲ (+0.17)
Bolton Wanderers 44.57% ▼ (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.21% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.32% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 2.5 56.68% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 3.5 22.36% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 77.64% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 4.5 9.73% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 4.5 90.27% ▲ (+0.15)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 64.55% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 35.45% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 27.79% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 1.5 72.21% ▼ (-0.32)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 74.69% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 0.5 25.31% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 1.5 39.92% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 1.5 60.08% ▲ (+0.70)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 28.33%
Draw 27.1%
Bolton Wanderers 44.56%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.1%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 12.32% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.16)
1-3 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.56%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 12
Bolton
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion
  • George Johnston 47' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 61' goal
  • Randell Williams 63' goal
  • Randell Williams 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 24'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Whitfield 86'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 26
Bolton
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Jasper Moon 51' goal
  • Aaron Morley 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 57'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Gilligan 65'
League One Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bolton
  • Rekeem Harper 15' yellowcard
  • Mark Helm 46' goal
  • Deji Oshilaja 56' yellowcard
  • Max Crocombe 57' yellowcard
  • Jake Caprice 74' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 84' yellowcard
  • Mustapha Carayol 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paris Maghoma 20'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 44'
  • goal Dion Charles 58'
League One Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Bolton
  • Josh Walker 59' goal
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 5'
League One Gameweek 13
Bolton
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Amadou Bakayoko 87' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+8' goal
  • goal Sam Hughes 73'
League One Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Bolton
  • Joe Powell 11' goal
  • John Brayford 14' goal
  • John Brayford 18' goal
  • Michael Mancienne 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 68'
  • goal Dion Charles 90'+4'

Form Data

Wycombe 2 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Mansfield
Lincoln 0 - 1 Burton Albion
Stevenage 0 - 1 Burton Albion
Bristol Rovers 3 - 1 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Blackpool
Bolton 3 - 1 Birmingham
Wrexham 0 - 0 Bolton
Bolton 2 - 1 Leyton Orient
Shrewsbury 2 - 3 Bolton
Wrexham 1 - 0 Bolton
Bolton 4 - 3 Crawley