Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.