Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.