Premier League Gameweek 5
Brighton
Sep 22, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
Nott'm Forest
  • Carlos Balepa 25' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 39' yellowcard
  • Jack Hinshelwood 42' goal
  • Danny Welbeck 45' goal
  • Nuno Espirito Santo 84' redcard
  • Lewis Dunk 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Wood 13'
  • yellowcard Ola Aina 44'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 46'
  • yellowcard Morgan Gibbs-White 60'
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 64'
  • goal Ramon Sosa 70'
  • redcard Morgan Gibbs-White 83'
  • yellowcard Callum Hudson-Odoi 90'+3'

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
Brighton 0 - 0 Ipswich
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
Liverpool 0 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Chris Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 59.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 20.76% ▲ (+0.13)
Nottingham Forest 19.75% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.88% ▼ (-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.95% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 2.5 38.05% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 3.5 39.68% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 3.5 60.32% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 4.5 21.88% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 4.5 78.12% ▲ (+0.56)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 87.5% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 12.5% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 61.51% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 38.49% ▲ (+0.47)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 67.29% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 32.71% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 30.73% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 1.5 69.27% ▲ (+0.48)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 59.49%
Draw 20.76%
Nottingham Forest 19.75%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.13)
1-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 59.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.76%
Nottingham Forest
1-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 19.75%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 28
Brighton
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Nott'm Forest
  • Andrew Omobamidele 29' goal
  • Ansu Fati 41' yellowcard
  • Jakub Moder 67' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 78' yellowcard
  • Adam Lallana 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 14'
  • yellowcard Andrew Omobamidele 19'
  • yellowcard Neco Williams 55'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Nott'm Forest
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The City Ground
Brighton
  • Anthony Elanga 3' goal
  • Harry Toffolo 54' yellowcard
  • Moussa Niakhate 74' yellowcard
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 76' goal
  • goal Evan Ferguson 26'
  • goal Joao Pedro 45'+4'
  • goal Joao Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Simon Adingra 65'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 72'
  • redcard Lewis Dunk 73'
  • yellowcard Evan Ferguson 74'
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 82'
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Nott'm Forest
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Brighton
  • Pascal Gross 45'+3' goal
  • Danilo 69' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 90'+1' goal
  • goal Facundo Buonanotte 38'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Brighton
Oct 18, 2022 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nott'm Forest
Championship
Nott'm Forest
Mar 4, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Zach Clough 60' goal
  • Ben Osborn 89' goal
  • Zach Clough 98' goal
  • yellowcard Dale Stephens 45'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 63'
  • yellowcard Liam Rosenior 98'
Championship
Brighton
Aug 12, 2016 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Nott'm Forest
  • Anthony Knockaert 36' goal
  • Gaetan Bong 43' yellowcard
  • Tomer Hemed 58' yellowcard
  • Glenn Murray 68' goal
  • Glenn Murray 82' goal
  • Sam Baldock 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pajtim Kasami 45'
  • yellowcard Alex Iacovitti 59'
  • yellowcard Oliver Burke 67'
  • yellowcard Hildeberto Pereira 73'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 91'

Form Data

Brighton 3 - 2 Wolves
Brighton 0 - 0 Ipswich
Arsenal 1 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 4 - 0 Crawley
Brighton 2 - 1 Man Utd
Everton 0 - 3 Brighton
Liverpool 0 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Wolves
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Newcastle
Southampton 0 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Bournemouth
Olympiacos 3 - 4 Nott'm Forest

Build-up

Predicted Lineups