National League North
Apr 28, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Riccardo Calder 78' goal

Brackley Town vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
Blyth Spartans 1 - 5 Brackley Town
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Danny Newton

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 24, 2024 7.45pm
Chorley 0 - 0 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Carlton Ubaezuonu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result

Brackley Town 42.57% (-0.21)
Draw 27.76% (+0.15)
Chorley 29.67% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.05% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.49% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 58.5% (+0.48)
Over 3.5 20.91% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 79.08% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 8.87% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 91.13% (+0.22)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.82% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 27.18% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 37.41% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 62.59% (+0.44)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 64.61% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 35.38% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 27.85% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 72.15% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Brackley Town 42.56%
Draw 27.75%
Chorley 29.67%
Brackley Town
1-0 @ 12.52% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 42.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.62% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.75%
Chorley
0-1 @ 9.99% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.19% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 29.67%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park
  • Morgan Roberts 7' goal
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 61' goal
  • goal Alfie Bates 41'
  • redcard Morgan Roberts 90'+2'
National League North Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Levi Amantchi 34' goal
  • goal Connor Hall 51'
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
National League North Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal T. Yusuf 85'