Copa Sudamericana
May 16, 2024 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
  • Luis Advincula 5' yellowcard
  • Luis Advincula 5' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 29' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 29' yellowcard
  • Diego Martinez 35' yellowcard
  • Diego Martinez 35' yellowcard
  • Edinson Cavani 55' goal
  • Edinson Cavani 55' goal
  • Guillermo Fernandez 70' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 70' yellowcard
  • Miguel Merentiel 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 39'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 39'
  • yellowcard Titi 45'
  • yellowcard Titi 45'
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 74'
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Augusto 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Augusto 75'
  • goal Kervin Andrade 90'
  • goal Kervin Andrade 90'

Boca Juniors vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 9, 2024 1.30am
Sportivo Trinidense 1 - 2 Boca Juniors

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 9, 2024 1.00am
Nacional 4 - 1 Fortaleza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 55.08% (-0.37)
Draw 24.77% (+0.12)
Fortaleza 20.15% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.7% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.47% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 54.52% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 24.12% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 75.88% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 10.81% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 89.19% (+0.09)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 80.25% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 19.74% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 48.23% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 51.77% (+0.34)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 58.19% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 41.81% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 21.73% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 78.27% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 55.07%
Draw 24.76%
Fortaleza 20.15%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.39%
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 55.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.25% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 24.76%
Fortaleza
0-1 @ 7.2% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.09% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.14% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 20.15%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 26, 2024 1.00am
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Juan Martin Lucero 4' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 4' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 51' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 51' goal
  • Pedro Augusto 53' yellowcard
  • Pedro Augusto 53' yellowcard
  • Yago Pikachu 55' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 55' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 63' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 63' goal
  • Joao Ricardo 77' yellowcard
  • Joao Ricardo 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Sasha 81' yellowcard
  • Lucas Sasha 81' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Britez 90'+7' redcard
  • Emanuel Britez 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 17'
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 17'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 21'
  • goal Miguel Merentiel 21'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Saracchi 34'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Saracchi 34'
  • goal Kevin Zenon 85'
  • goal Kevin Zenon 85'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fernandez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fernandez 90'+6'