La Liga Gameweek 33
Barcelona
Apr 29, 2024 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Valencia
  • Fermin Lopez 22' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 42' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 49' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 82' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 90'+3' goal
  • goal Hugo Duro 27'
  • goal Pepelu 38'
  • redcard Giorgi Mamardashvili 45'+4'

Barcelona vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2024 8.00pm
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Barcelona
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Robert Lewandowski

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
Valencia 1 - 2 Betis
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result

Barcelona 62.24% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 20.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Valencia 16.79% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.33% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.07% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 43.93% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 33.68% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 66.32% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 4.5 17.29% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 4.5 82.71% ▲ (+0.24)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 86.45% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 13.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 59.38% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 40.62% ▲ (+0.27)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 60.53% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 39.47% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 23.84% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 76.16% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

Barcelona 62.23%
Draw 20.97%
Valencia 16.79%
Barcelona
1-0 @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 10.68% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 62.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.97%
Valencia
0-1 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.79%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 17
Valencia
Dec 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Barcelona
  • Fran Perez 65' yellowcard
  • Hugo Guillamon 70' goal
  • goal Joao Felix 55'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 77'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 79'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Barcelona
Mar 5, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Valencia
  • Raphinha 16' goal
La Liga Gameweek 12
Valencia
Oct 29, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Barcelona
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Valencia
Feb 20, 2022 3.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Barcelona
  • Carlos Soler 52' goal
  • Ilaix Moriba 53' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 56' yellowcard
  • Toni Lato 76' yellowcard
  • Carlos Soler 77' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 23'
  • goal Frenkie de Jong 32'
  • yellowcard Jordi Alba 35'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 38'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 56'
  • goal Pedri 63'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 72'
  • yellowcard Sergino Dest 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Barcelona
Oct 17, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Valencia
  • Ansu Fati 13' goal
  • Gavi 20' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 32' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 41' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 85' goal
  • goal Jose Gaya 5'
  • yellowcard Jose Gaya 39'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 63'
  • yellowcard Maxi Gomez 82'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Valencia
May 2, 2021 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Barcelona
  • Uros Racic 35' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Paulista 50' goal
  • Toni Lato 56' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 57' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 63' goal
  • Marc-Andre ter Stegen 65' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 69' goal
  • Carlos Soler 83' goal

Form Data

Real Madrid 3 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 1 - 4 PSG
Cadiz 0 - 1 Barcelona
PSG 2 - 3 Barcelona
Barcelona 1 - 0 Las Palmas
Atletico 0 - 3 Barcelona
Valencia 1 - 2 Betis
Osasuna 0 - 1 Valencia
Granada 0 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 0 - 0 Mallorca
Villarreal 1 - 0 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 0 Getafe