Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 3' yellowcard
  • George Oakley 19' goal
  • George Oakley 36' goal
  • Nick McAllister 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Crawford 7'
  • yellowcard Stuart Bannigan 72'
  • goal Harry Milne 87'

Ayr United vs Partick Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
Dunfermline 0 - 2 Ayr
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
George Oakley

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 10, 2025 7.45pm
Hamilton 1 - 2 Partick
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Brian Graham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result

Ayr United 45.44% (-0.02)
Draw 25.72% (-0.01)
Partick Thistle 28.84% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.64% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.89% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 51.11% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 27.04% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.96% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.68% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.32% (-0.03)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 77.55% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.45% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.01% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 55.99% (-0.02)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 67.88% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.12% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 31.4% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 68.6% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Ayr United 45.44%
Draw 25.72%
Partick Thistle 28.84%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 45.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.72%
Partick Thistle
0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28.84%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Kyle Turner 82' goal
  • yellowcard Frankie Musonda 31'
  • yellowcard Michael Devlin 39'
  • yellowcard George Stanger 54'
  • yellowcard Marco Rus 71'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Anton Dowds 25' goal
  • George Oakley 35' yellowcard
  • Ryan Howley 45'+1' yellowcard
  • George Stanger 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel O'Reilly 29'
  • yellowcard Robbie Crawford 41'
  • yellowcard Luke McBeth 44'
  • goal Harry Milne 74'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • yellowcard Kurt Willoughby 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Nick McAllister 15' goal
  • Kurt Willoughby 43' goal
  • Kurt Willoughby 45'+2' goal
  • Harry McHugh 51' yellowcard
  • Nick McAllister 56' yellowcard
  • Harry McHugh 84' goal
  • goal Brian Graham 33'
  • goal Tomi Adeloye 78'
  • goal Jack Sanders 83' (OG)
Scottish Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Brian Graham 17' goal
  • Harry Milne 47' goal
  • Harry Milne 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 19'
  • goal Jamie Murphy 75'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Roy Syla 14' yellowcard
  • Nick McAllister 57' yellowcard
  • Paddy Reading 83' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Graham 2'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 29'
  • goal Steven Lawless 58'
  • goal Steven Lawless 67'
  • goal Tomi Adeloye 81'