Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.