Premier League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Ollie Watkins 36' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 38' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 47' goal
  • Tyrone Mings 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Adingra 12'
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 37'
  • yellowcard Yasin Ayari 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Carlos Balepa 72'
  • goal Tariq Lamptey 81'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 90'+2'

Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 27, 2024 7.30pm
Brighton 0 - 0 Brentford
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 41.88% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 23.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion 34.68% ▼ (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.18% ▼ (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.53% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 38.47% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 39.24% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 60.76% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 21.53% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 78.46% ▲ (+0.18)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 81.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 49.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.17% ▼ (-0.07)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 77.78% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 22.21% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 44.36% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 55.63% ▲ (+0.40)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 41.88%
Draw 23.43%
Brighton & Hove Albion 34.68%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 41.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.43%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 7.89% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 34.68%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 36
Brighton
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Pascal Gross 49' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 87' goal
  • Roberto De Zerbi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 90'+9'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
Sep 30, 2023 12.30pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
Brighton
  • Douglas Luiz 7' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 14' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 21' goal
  • Pervis Estupinan 26' goal
  • Lucas Digne 32' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 57' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 65' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 85' goal
  • Jhon Duran 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Welbeck 39'
  • goal Ansu Fati 50'
  • yellowcard Ansu Fati 72'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 79'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 84'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Brighton
  • Douglas Luiz 8' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 26' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 38'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Dec 8, 2022 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • Danny Ings 67' goal
  • Arjan Raikhy 85' goal
  • goal Deniz Undav 75'
  • goal Deniz Undav 81'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Brighton
Nov 13, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • Alexis Mac Allister 1' goal
  • goal Danny Ings 20'
  • goal Danny Ings 54'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Brighton
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • Marc Cucurella 16' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 25' yellowcard
  • Yves Bissouma 57' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 58' yellowcard
  • goal Matty Cash 17'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 19'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 25'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 40'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 40'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 68'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 83'

Form Data

Newcastle 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man City
Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 Aston Villa
RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Southampton
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Brentford
Brighton 0 - 0 Brentford
West Ham 1 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 3 Crystal Palace
Leicester 2 - 2 Brighton
Fulham 3 - 1 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 1 Southampton

Build-up

Predicted Lineups