Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.