Premier League Gameweek 29
Arsenal
Mar 16, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Chelsea
  • Mikel Merino 20' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 54' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 30'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 52'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 59'

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 4.30pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 2.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 0 Leicester
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result

Arsenal 60.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 20.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Chelsea 19.02% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.68% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 37.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 40.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 59.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 22.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.82% ▲ (+0.08)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 87.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 12.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 62.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 37.65% ▲ (+0.03)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 66.76% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.24% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 30.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.85% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Arsenal 60.53%
Draw 20.45%
Chelsea 19.02%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 60.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.45%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 19.02%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 11
Chelsea
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Arsenal
  • Levi Colwill 21' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 33' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 70' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 39'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 56'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 60'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Arsenal
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Chelsea
  • Leandro Trossard 4' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 45' yellowcard
  • Ben White 52' goal
  • Kai Havertz 57' goal
  • Kai Havertz 65' goal
  • Ben White 70' goal
  • Ben White 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfie Gilchrist 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 43'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Chelsea
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Arsenal
  • Cole Palmer 8' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 15' goal
  • Thiago Silva 44' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 48' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Arteta 9'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 11'
  • goal Declan Rice 77'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 84'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 89'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Arsenal
May 2, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Martin Odegaard 18' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 31' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 34' goal
  • goal Noni Madueke 65'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Chelsea
Nov 6, 2022 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 63'
Club Friendlies 1
Arsenal
Jul 24, 2022 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Gabriel Jesus 15' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 36' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 61' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 66' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 78' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' goal
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 50'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 77'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 77'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 90'

Form Data

Arsenal 2 - 2 PSV
Man Utd 1 - 1 Arsenal
PSV 1 - 7 Arsenal
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal
Arsenal 0 - 1 West Ham
Leicester 0 - 2 Arsenal
Chelsea 1 - 0 Copenhagen
Chelsea 1 - 0 Leicester
Copenhagen 1 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 4 - 0 Southampton
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Chelsea
Brighton 3 - 0 Chelsea

Build-up

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