Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.02%) and 0-3 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.