Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.