Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 3
Salernitana

Leao (22'), Giroud (27'), Calabria (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Simy (64', 89'), Sambia (87')
Pierozzi (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Hellas Verona
Monday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Salernitana have won just one away match on their way down to Serie B, and that tally is not set to increase at Milan's expense. Although they seem to have mentally switched off, the Rossoneri may rouse themselves to honour Stefano Pioli in his final game at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Salernitana
82.62% ( 0.83)	11.12% ( -0.39)	6.26% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.17% (

0.18)

25.83% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54% (

0.24)

45.99% (

-0.24)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.43% (

0.16)

4.57% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.33% (

0.5)

18.67% (

-0.5)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.2% (

-1.06)

45.8% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.43% (

-0.84)

81.57% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 82.61%

Salernitana 6.26%

Draw 11.12%

AC Milan	Draw	Salernitana
3-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 8% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.22) 5-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.8% Total : 82.61%	1-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 11.12%	1-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 6.26%