Serie A Gameweek 38
AC Milan
May 25, 2024 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana
  • Rafael Leao 22' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 27' goal
  • Davide Calabria 77' goal
  • yellowcard Niccolo Pierozzi 51'
  • goal Simy 64'
  • goal Junior Sambia 87'
  • goal Simy 89'

AC Milan vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2024 7.45pm
Torino 3 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2024 5.30pm
Salernitana 1 - 2 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Antonio Candreva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 82.62% ▲ (+0.83)
Draw 11.12% ▼ (-0.40)
Salernitana 6.26% ▼ (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.72% ▼ (-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.17% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 25.83% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 54% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 45.99% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 4.5 34.51% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 65.49% ▼ (-0.24)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 95.43% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 4.57% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 81.33% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 18.67% ▼ (-0.51)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 54.2% ▼ (-1.06)
Under 0.5 45.8% ▲ (+1.06)
Over 1.5 18.43% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 1.5 81.57% ▲ (+0.84)

Score analysis

AC Milan 82.61%
Draw 11.12%
Salernitana 6.26%
AC Milan
3-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.23)
2-0 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 8% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.15)
1-0 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.22)
5-1 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.12)
6-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.14)
4-2 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.07)
6-1 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
7-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 82.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 11.12%
Salernitana
1-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.12)
0-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.26%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 17
Salernitana
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Arechi
AC Milan
  • Filippo Inzaghi 33' yellowcard
  • Federico Fazio 42' goal
  • Grigoris Kastanos 44' yellowcard
  • Antonio Candreva 63' goal
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi 71' yellowcard
  • Norbert Gyomber 74' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Fiorillo 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 17'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 35'
  • goal Luka Jovic 90'
Serie A Gameweek 26
AC Milan
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana
  • Olivier Giroud 45'+1' goal
  • goal Boulaye Dia 61'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Salernitana
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Arechi
AC Milan
  • Federico Bonazzoli 83' goal
  • goal Rafael Leao 10'
  • goal Sandro Tonali 15'
Serie A Gameweek 26
Salernitana
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Federico Bonazzoli 29' goal
  • Ederson 52' yellowcard
  • Milan Djuric 72' goal
  • Milan Djuric 72' yellowcard
  • goal Junior Messias 5'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 35'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 60'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 70'
  • goal Ante Rebic 77'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 83'
Serie A Gameweek 16
AC Milan
Dec 4, 2021 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Salernitana
  • Franck Kessie 5' goal
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 18' goal
  • Tiemoue Bakayoko 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Di Tacchio 30'
  • yellowcard Milan Djuric 86'

Form Data

Torino 3 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 5 - 1 Cagliari
AC Milan 3 - 3 Genoa
Juventus 0 - 0 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 2 Inter Milan
Roma 2 - 1 AC Milan
Salernitana 1 - 2 Hellas Verona
Juventus 1 - 1 Salernitana
Salernitana 1 - 2 Atalanta
Frosinone 3 - 0 Salernitana
Salernitana 0 - 2 Fiorentina
Lazio 4 - 1 Salernitana