Champions League
Sep 17, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Enzo Ricci
  • Christian Pulisic 3' goal
  • Davide Calabria 22' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Fofana 31' yellowcard
  • Paulo Fonseca 60' yellowcard
  • goal Ibrahima Konate 23'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 41'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 53'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 67'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 80'

AC Milan vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Liverpool

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 37% (+1.06)
Draw 23.85% (+0.22)
Liverpool 39.14% (-1.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.03% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.87% (-0.97)
Under 2.5 40.13% (+0.96)
Over 3.5 37.5% (-1.01)
Under 3.5 62.49% (+1.00)
Over 4.5 20.17% (-0.79)
Under 4.5 79.83% (+0.78)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 78.23% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 21.76% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 45.05% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 54.94% (-0.18)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 79.28% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 20.71% (+1.01)
Over 1.5 46.67% (-1.62)
Under 1.5 53.32% (+1.61)

Score analysis

AC Milan 37.01%
Draw 23.84%
Liverpool 39.14%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 6.87% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 5.24% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.2% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.15)
4-1 @ 1.6% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-94.89)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.51% (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.84%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 7.1% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.14)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.14%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Dec 16, 2022 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Al Maktoum Stadium
  • Mohamed Salah 5' goal
  • Thiago Alcantara 41' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 82' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 88' goal
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 29'
Champions League
Dec 7, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Fikayo Tomori 29' goal
  • goal Mohamed Salah 36'
  • goal Divock Origi 55'
Champions League
Sep 15, 2021 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Fikayo Tomori 9' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 49' goal
  • Jordan Henderson 69' goal
  • James Milner 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 13'
  • goal Ante Rebic 42'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 44'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 61'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 31, 2016 3.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Levi's Stadium
  • Adam Lallana 40' yellowcard
  • Divock Origi 59' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 73' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 2, 2014 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Allen 17' goal
  • Suso 90' goal

Build-up

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