League Two Gameweek 15
Nov 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
LIVE Alexandra Stadium
  • Jordan Gibson 15' yellowcard
  • Charlie McNeill 38' yellowcard
  • Matus Holicek 55' yellowcard
  • Adrien Thibaut 61' yellowcard
  • Charlie McNeill 77' goal
  • yellowcard Ciaran Brennan 1'
  • goal Luke Offord 3' (OG)
  • goal Dan Sassi 34'
  • yellowcard Kion Etete 60'

Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 1 - 1 Barnet
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 7.45pm
Newport 4 - 1 Chesterfield
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Shaquille Gwengwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 25.62% and a draw has a probability of 25.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest Newport County win is 0-1 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.9%).

Result

Crewe Alexandra 48.94%
Draw 25.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Newport County 25.62%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.31% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 23.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 12.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 87.02% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Crewe Alexandra 33.57%
Draw 44.19%
Newport County 22.24%

Team To Score First

Crewe Alexandra 52.03% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 8.62% ▼ (-0.06)
Newport County 39.35% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.78%
Equal 8 10.62%
Under 8 31.59%
Over 9 46.97%
Equal 9 10.81%
Under 9 42.22%
Over 10.5 36.8%
Under 10.5 63.2%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 1.5 42.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 18.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 81.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 58.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 74.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.85% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 48.94%
Draw 25.42%
Newport County 25.62%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.8%
2-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 48.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.42%
Newport County
0-1 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.62%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2025 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 28' goal
  • Anthony Glennon 40' yellowcard
  • Anthony Driscoll-Glennon 40' yellowcard
  • Sammy Braybroke 76' goal
  • Sammy Braybrooke 76' goal
  • yellowcard Jay Mingi 49'
  • yellowcard Louis Moult 73'
  • yellowcard L. Moult 73'
  • yellowcard James Connolly 90'+1'
League Two
Dec 10, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Emre Tezgel 11' goal
  • Josh March 78' goal
  • Charlie Finney 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Courtney Baker-Richardson 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Courtney Baker-Richardson 46'
  • goal James Connolly 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jordan Wright 56'
  • yellowcard Anthony Glennon 61'
  • yellowcard Anthony Driscoll-Glennon 61'
  • redcard Courtney Baker-Richardson 64'
  • goal Cameron Antwi 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Adrien Thibaut 90' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Antwi 33'
  • goal David Ajiboye 45'+2'
  • yellowcard David Ajiboye 60'
  • yellowcard Joe Thomas 66'
  • yellowcard Cameron Antwi 67'
  • goal Courtney Baker-Richardson 82'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Cameron Evans 22' yellowcard
  • Cameron Evans 33' goal
  • Anthony Glennon 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Matthew Baker 74' goal
  • Matthew Baker 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Knight-Lebel 3'
  • yellowcard Jack Lankester 38'
  • goal Adrien Thibaut 71'
  • yellowcard Kian Breckin 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Will Evans 64' goal
  • goal Chris Long 48'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 72'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Mickey Demetriou 8' goal
  • Mickey Demetriou 57' goal
  • Chris Long 66' goal
  • Elliott Nevitt 71' goal
  • goal Will Evans 21'
  • goal Harry Charsley 75'
  • yellowcard Matthew Bondswell 83'
  • yellowcard James Waite 90'+3'