League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
St James' Park

Exeter City vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
J. Fitzwater

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Swindon 0 - 1 Crewe
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Josh March

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 33.99% and a draw has a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (10.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.76%).

Result

Exeter City 33.99%
Draw 29.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Crewe Alexandra 36.91% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.07% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.63% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 31.37% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 42.27% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 57.73% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 21.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 78.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.19% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 26.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 46.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Crewe Alexandra 27.14% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Exeter City 44.81% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 9.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Crewe Alexandra 45.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 66.02% ▼ (-0.16)
Equal 8 10.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 23.08% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 54.09% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 33.98% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 42.22% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 57.78% ▲ (+0.15)

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 30.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 69.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 10.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 89.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.04% ▲ (+0.03)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 68.55% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 31.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 33.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 66.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.86% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 88.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.49% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Exeter City 33.98%
Draw 29.09%
Crewe Alexandra 36.91%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 33.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 29.09%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 36.91%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park
  • Lee Martin 24' yellowcard
  • Tom Parkes 32' goal
  • goal Michael Nottingham 61'
  • yellowcard Charlie Kirk 81'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Owen Dale 43' yellowcard
  • Nicky Hunt 70' yellowcard
  • Chuma Anene 76' goal
  • Charlie Kirk 79' yellowcard
  • goal Dean Moxey 2'
  • yellowcard Jack Sparkes 62'
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 23, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Alexandra Stadium (Crewe, Cheshire)
  • Chris Porter 48' goal
  • goal Jake Taylor 7'
  • goal Matt Jay 66'
  • yellowcard Lee Holmes 79'
League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 15, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park (Exeter, Devon)
  • Lee Martin 42' goal
  • Jake Taylor 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Jones 11'
  • yellowcard George Ray 71'
  • yellowcard Owen Dale 90'
League Two
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shaun Miller 67' yellowcard
  • Michael Raynes 78' yellowcard
  • Shaun Miller 88' goal
  • yellowcard Jayden Stockley 78'
  • yellowcard Christy Pym 89'
  • goal Jordan Moore-Taylor 92'
  • goal Jayden Stockley 95'
League Two
Sep 16, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jordan Tillson 7' goal
  • Jake Taylor 38' goal
  • Jayden Stockley 76' goal
  • yellowcard Eddie Nolan 35'