Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.