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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 32.55% | 27.48% | 39.96% |
| Both teams to score 48.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.32% | 56.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.36% | 77.64% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% | 32.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% | 68.84% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% | 63.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.96% |