Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.