Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.