Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 13.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.