League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 30
Sep 14, 2026 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Oriel Park
  • Leo Gaxha 69' yellowcard
  • Harvey Warren 83' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Keena 21'
  • yellowcard A. Olusanya 29'
  • goal Aidan Keena 37'
  • goal Ryan Sheridan 75'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 82'

Dundalk vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Waterford 1 - 1 Dundalk
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Gbemi Arubi

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 8.00pm
St Patrick's 2 - 0 Shamrock
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
R. Edmondson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-2 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Dundalk 37.57%
Draw 27.13% ▼ (-0.14)
St Patrick's Athletic 35.3% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.17% ▲ (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.57% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 22.43% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 54.82% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 45.18% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 32.35% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 67.65% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 18.23% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 81.77% ▼ (-0.27)

First Half Winner

Dundalk 28.13% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 42.42% ▲ (+0.21)
St Patrick's Athletic 29.45% ▲ (+0.19)

Team To Score First

Dundalk 45.54% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.48% ▼ (-0.07)
St Patrick's Athletic 47.98% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 60.84% ▼ (-0.55)
Equal 8 10.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 28.65% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 9 49.88% ▼ (-0.52)
Equal 9 10.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 39.16% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 10.5 39.33% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 10.5 60.67% ▲ (+0.47)

Dundalk Goals

Over 1.5 41.03% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 1.5 58.97% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 17.39% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 82.61% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 6.29% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 93.71% ▼ (-0.11)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 70.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.04% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 60.96% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 16.65% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 83.35% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.08% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Dundalk 37.56%
Draw 27.13%
St Patrick's Athletic 35.3%
Dundalk
2-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 37.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.13%
St Patrick's Athletic
1-2 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 35.3%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 25
Jul 24, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Anto Breslin 35' yellowcard
  • Sean Hoare 49' yellowcard
  • Sean Hoare 57' goal
  • James Brown 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bobby Burns 5'
  • yellowcard Rob Cornwall 12'
  • yellowcard Aodh Dervin 24'
  • goal Daryl Horgan  36'
  • yellowcard Keith Buckley 70'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 6, 2026 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Tyreke Wilson 7' goal
  • Shane Tracey 21' goal
  • John Wilson 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Keith Buckley 46' yellowcard
  • Mayowa Animasahun 56' yellowcard
  • Harry Groome 56' yellowcard
  • D. McDaid 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Romal Palmer 16'
  • yellowcard Romal Palmer 17'
  • yellowcard R. Edmondson 44'
  • yellowcard John Wilson 46'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Forrester 76'
  • yellowcard Glory Nzingo 76'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Feb 27, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Romal Palmer 20' goal
  • Sean Hoare 26' goal
  • Chris Forrester 46' yellowcard
  • Zach Elbouzedi 48' goal
  • Tom Grivosti 53' yellowcard
  • Jason McClelland 55' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 73' yellowcard
  • Darragh Nugent 73' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ronan Teahan 46'
  • yellowcard Gbemi Arubi 46'
  • yellowcard Harry Groome 57'
  • yellowcard D. McDaid 57'
  • yellowcard Conor O'Keeffe 82'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 28
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Eoin Kenny 2' goal
  • Dan Pike 47' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Grivosti 54'
  • goal Mason Melia 68'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 3, 2024 5.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT Richmond Park
  • Joe Redmond 16' yellowcard
  • Chris Forrester 27' goal
  • Jamie Lennon 35' goal
  • Mason Melia 58' yellowcard
  • goal James Gullan 2'
  • goal Ryan O'Kane 4'
  • yellowcard Paul Doyle 18'
  • goal James Gullan 22'
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 51'
  • yellowcard Zac Johnson 62'
  • yellowcard Daryl Horgan 90'+4'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 10
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Zak Bradshaw 63' yellowcard
  • Robbie Benson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Nolan 61'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Daly 62'