Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Stade Marie-Marvingt
  • Dame Gueye 11' goal
  • Louis Mafouta 62' goal
  • goal 18'
  • goal Mouhamadou Mansour Samb 19'
  • goal Mouhamadou Mansour Samb 45'+1'

Le Mans vs La Roche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 12.00pm
Grenoble 1 - 1 Le Mans

La Roche

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.88% and a win for La Roche had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.46%) , while for a La Roche win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Le Mans 48.01% (-0.04)
Draw 28.88% (+0.26)
La Roche 23.11% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.24% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.19% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 35.81% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 37.47% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 62.53% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 18.15% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 81.85% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 9.24% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 90.76% (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Le Mans 34.95% (-0.10)
Draw 45.7% (+0.20)
La Roche 19.36% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Le Mans 54.49% (+0.08)
No Goal 11.62% (+0.14)
La Roche 33.89% (-0.22)

Corners

Over 8 54.2% (-0.21)
Equal 8 12.81% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.99% (+0.24)
Over 9 41.46% (-0.18)
Equal 9 12.74% (-0.03)
Under 9 45.8% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 29.99% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 70.01% (+0.14)

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 38.19% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 61.81% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 15.48% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 84.52% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 4.84% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 95.16% (+0.10)

La Roche Goals

Over 0.5 55.18% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 44.82% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 19.35% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 80.65% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 4.8% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 95.2% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.08% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 98.92% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Le Mans 48.01%
Draw 28.89%
La Roche 23.11%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 14.58% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 9.53%
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.83% (-0.09)
Total : 48.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 11.62% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.89%
La Roche
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.07% (-0.05)
Total : 23.11%