Coppa Italia
Aug 16, 2026 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Nicolò Rovella 25' yellowcard
  • Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 56' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cancellieri 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bodin Tomasevic 21'
  • goal Francesco Ruocco 75'
  • goal Ismael Cajazzo 90'+6'

Lazio vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Mantova

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-2 (6.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Lazio 42.56% (-0.08)
Draw 26.84%
Mantova 30.6% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.04% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.42% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.58% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.02% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.34%
Under 3.5 67.66%
Over 4.5 18.74% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.26% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Lazio 31.23% (-0.09)
Draw 44.38% (+0.08)
Mantova 24.39% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Lazio 52.35% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.47% (+0.03)
Mantova 40.18%

Corners

Over 8 57.38% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 30.74% (+0.05)
Over 9 45.31% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.06% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.62% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 34.13% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 65.87% (+0.04)

Lazio Goals

Over 1.5 43.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.61% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.39% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.8% (-0.02)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 66.35% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.65% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.46% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.54% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.39% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.61% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.06% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.94% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Lazio 42.55%
Draw 26.85%
Mantova 30.58%
Lazio
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.8%
Total : 42.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.47% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.4% (+0.02)
Total : 26.85%
Mantova
1-2 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.84% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.66% (+0.03)
Total : 30.58%