Kayserispor will play their final home Super Lig game of the season on Saturday when they play host to relegated Yeni Malatyaspor.
The hosts enter Saturday's contest in 15th position, while Yeni Malatyaspor are guaranteed to finish rock bottom of the league table.
Match preview
The hosts may sit in a lowly position in the standings, but their top-flight status is secured with eight points separating them from the relegation zone.
Kayserispor have won just one of their last 10 matches, however, rather than being downbeat, the hosts enter Saturday's contest in high spirits after beating Trabzonspor in the Turkish Cup semi-finals in midweek.
On Tuesday, Hikmet Karaman's side ended Trabzonspor's hopes of a league and cup double after they overturned a first-leg deficit to reach the Turkish Cup final.
Two goals apiece in 82 minutes ensured that Kayserispor trailed 3-2 on aggregate as the contest entered stoppage time, but late strikes from Mame Thiam and Emrah Bassan helped Kayserispor clinch a final place in the most dramatic of circumstances.
Although the cup final against Sivasspor at the end of May will be their priority, Saturday's hosts will be aiming to build some confidence in the final two games of the league season.
Unlike their hosts, Yeni Malatyaspor enter Saturday's encounter in a despondent mood after losing their last eight matches.
After 36 Super Lig matches, the bottom-placed side have just 20 points to their name, with just five of their league games ending in victory.
In their most recent outing, Yeni Malatyaspor fell to a 3-1 defeat at home to Caykur Rizespor with a Rahman Cagiran strike the only bright spark in a disappointing display.
Cagiran's effort did little to help a struggling side that have scored just 27 goals in their 36 league games this term.
Although they are destined for the second tier, Yeni Malatyaspor will be aiming to clinch just their third away league victory of the season.
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Team News
Mert Cetin has missed the last two matches due to a muscle injury, and the defender is expected to absent once again on Saturday.
Meanwhile, a hamstring injury will prevent Mario Gavranovic from featuring, while Miguel Cardoso is sidelined with an ankle problem.
Bassan is set to be given a starting spot after coming off the bench to score a brace in the semi-final encounter with Trabzonspor.
As for the visitors, they are without the services of Stephen Mallan and Nuri Fatih Aydin, who both miss out through injury.
Berat Mert could come into the starting lineup to replace Jospin Nshimirimana, who will serve a one-match suspension due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Benjamin Tetteh has top-scored for Yeni Malatyaspor in the league this season, and he will be aiming to add to his seven-goal tally when he leads the line on Saturday.
Kayserispor possible starting lineup:
Lung. Jr; Bulut, Kolovetsios, Attamah, Carole; Kemen, Akdag; Bassan, Bertolacci, Thiam; Pektemek
Yeni Malatyaspor possible starting lineup:
Damlu; Basdas, Awuku, Campi, Hafez; Osman, Cagiran, Mert, Mujde, Altintas; Tetteh
We say: Kayserispor 3-1 Yeni Malatyaspor
Fresh off a second-leg cup victory over Trabzonspor, Saturday's hosts will enter the contest full of confidence, and we think that Kayserispor will clinch all three points when they come up against a Yeni Malatyaspor side who have lost their last eight games.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
